# of people reached through anticipatory actions

This indicator looks at the number of people that have been reached through activities that are the result of the triggers that are identified and set by the communities and/or by the implementing organization to reduce the risk and damage of the hazards happening. Therefore, any pre-planned activity based on a likelihood of a hazard / scenario and are responded to by SCI and the community would be considered under this. Accordingly, the number of people had no or reduced impact due to the anticipatory action would be counted under this indicator.

For the implementing office to be able to monitor against an anticipatory action, the office needs to have either community based or internal emergency preparedness plans against certain hazards / risks based on scenarios. If the hazard is not anticipated, and the potential response, and response pathway is not documented in advance to show action steps based on the likelihood of a hazard, this cannot be counted as an anticipatory action activity.

Calculation: Number of individuals reached through Anticipatory Action programming

Data Collection Method/Tool:  Routine Monitoring
Data Source: Activity Reports,
Who Collects: Save the Children, Community Members or Implementing Partners
From Whom: Individuals that are reached through anticipatory action activities
Frequency of Collection: Data will be collected on a monthly basis.
Frequency of Reporting: Data will be reporter quarterly or bi-annually
How to count and aggregate: Sum unique values across reporting periods. If possible, the data management can be done per hazard type / anticipatory activity as it will give a better insight about the activities and the context of the implementing office.
Baseline Value Info: Baseline value is not required.

However, there is one particular nuance to keep in mind. During the analysis of the individuals reached through activities, the baseline values can hold data value in terms of comparing how organization have expanded its anticipatory action capabilities. Yet, this can be done only if, the baseline data / reach value for this indicator can be managed and reported as per specific locations, per hazard and per activity type. This information can be triangulated with financial data to understand whether responses have any relevance for value for money evaluations. Because one of the underlying assumptions of anticipatory action is that it reduces the implications of the hazards on communities and the organization due to the early action, and sometimes this value can be monitored more concretely based on financial implications to households, individuals or the organization.

Indicator Prioritisation

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Indicator Context Type

Theme

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Cross-Cutting Themes

Frequency of Data Collection

Unit of Measure

Data Format

Direction of Desired Change

Number of Decimal Points

Indicator is Rounding

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Recommended Disaggregations

In the anticipatory action approach, the decision on taking an action is based on set triggers that already agreed upon based on empirical, or widely available anecdotal evidence. This could be an weather forecast warning of flash floods, or the local knowledge that already have different methods to monitor the situation in advance. Both methods can be utilized as part of the trigger mechanisms.

• •Anticipatory Action: Anticipatory action can help save lives, reduce human suffering, offset some of the economic impacts of disasters, improve the effectiveness of emergency preparedness, response and recovery efforts, and reduce reliance on ad hoc, slow, and costly humanitarian aid after a disaster.
• Emergency Preparedness Plan (EPP): A mandatory document to support general preparedness to multiple risks (SCI Emergency Preparedness Procedure)
• Trigger: This term refers to a pre-determined threshold or set of conditions that, once met or exceeded, initiate the implementation of anticipatory actions. These triggers are based on early warning systems and data analysis to forecast potential emergencies or crises, such as natural disasters, food insecurity, or conflict.

To further provide a concrete example – in this scenario, the organization knows that the upcoming rains will likely have significant implications due to their intensities and lead to flash floods in implementing areas. The likelihood is based on the evidence coming from the weather forecasts, and such instances happen every year in a particular region. This region is also devoid of any vegetation that can reduce the impact. Considering that this issue happens every year, and we have the access to technology to monitor the weather, the intensity of rains that is expected triggers the anticipatory action response. Accordingly, the staff builds trenches and secondary walls made by sandbags to protect the facilities to reduce the physical damage on our facilities, but also the organization re-locates some of its staff to mitigate any potential damage on them. On the side, the organization also activates the cash response to support households to prepare for the upcoming flooding and make preparations in their households. Accordingly, this indicator would count the number of individuals who benefitted from the early action taken by the organization based on a realized trigger under Anticipatory Action plans.

Important! Monitoring of triggers is the responsibility of the entire organization, which includes program operations, PDQ, and other departments. Whereas the monitoring of the activity as result of the trigger goes under the responsibility of the MEAL department